10 Year Treasury Notes T-Bond Yield Forecast over the next Six Month. 

10 Year T-Note Forecast

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Correlation Coefficient

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What is the Correlation Coefficient?

The correlation coefficient a concept from statistics is a measure of how well trends in the predicted values follow trends in past actual values.  It is a measure of how well the predicted values from a forecast model "fit" with the real-life data.

The correlation coefficient is a number between 0 and 1.  If there is no relationship between the predicted values and the actual values the correlation coefficient is 0 or very low (the predicted values are no better than random numbers).  As the strength of the relationship between the predicted values and actual values increases so does the correlation coefficient.  A perfect fit gives a coefficient of 1.0.  Thus the higher the correlation coefficient the better.

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Current Money Rates

June 28, 2005 (Close of Day)

Indicator

Value

Prime Rate 6.00
30 Year T-Bond 4.24
10 Year T-Note 3.98
91 Day T-Bill 3.08
Fed Funds 3.17
LIBOR 3 Month 3.49
Mortgage Rate 30 Year 5.61
   


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